Storm warning Madagascar “Eloise” 3rd update 20th of january 2021 ‼️

#stormeloise #madagascar #shareandwarn Storm warning Madagascar “Eloise” 3rd update 20th of january 2021 ‼️ Event Moderate Tropical Storm Eloise made landfall in the Sava region of northeastern Madagascar, Jan. 19. As of 2100 EAT, the center of circulation was approximately 350 km (218 miles) south-southeast of Antsiranana, Diana, Madagascar. The latest forecast guidance indicates that the storm will track southwestward toward central Madagascar through Jan. 21, likely weakening into a zone of disturbed weather. However, further strengthening is forecast as it enters the Mozambique Channel, Jan. 21, potentially reaching severe tropical storm intensity by Jan. 22 and tropical cyclone intensity by Jan. 23. Long-range forecasts indicate Eloise could potentially make landfall in southeastern Mozambique Jan. 23 or Jan. 24 before meandering over the region. Some uncertainty remains in the track and intensity forecast, and changes could occur over the coming days. Government AdvisoriesEloise will likely continue to bring heavy rain and strong winds across portions of north-central and central Madagascar through Jan. 21. As of 2100 EAT Jan. 19, authorities have issued a red alert (imminent danger) for Sava, Analanjirofo, Bealanana, Befandriana Avaratra and Mandritsara and a yellow alert (threat) for Toamasina I-II and Alaotra. All weather warnings have been lifted in Brickaville, Vatomandry, Mahanoro and Moramanga. Authorities may issue warnings over the coming days, depending on the track of the storm. Hazardous ConditionsThe storm will likely bring heavy rainfall, strong winds, and rough seas to coastal areas in northern and north-central Madagascar in the coming days. Forecast models indicate the most rainfall will occur in northwestern Madagascar north of where Eloise tracks. Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near streams, creeks, rivers, and urban areas with easily overwhelmed or a lack of stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream of large reservoirs could experience flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Rain-induced landslides are possible in steeply sloped terrains. Flooding could isolate some communities for several days.