cyclone #Eloise update

CYCLONE ELOISE to cross northeastern coast of madagascar around 19 th jan night 2021 note : for official weather report look for the report of your regional weather center #shorts #tropicalstorm #indianocean #hurricane #typhoon #tropicalcyclone #heavyrain #weatherreport #tropicaldisturbance #cycloneeloise #Madagascarweather #weatherforecast #rainforecast TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 428 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 37 KMPH OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY WARMED UP; HOWEVER, RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO TIGHTLY WRAP INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) THAT IS PARTLY OBSCURED BY THE CONVECTION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EIR LOOP. . ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG RADIAL OUTFLOW AND WARM SST (29-30C) OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 12S IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST, MAKING LANDFALL OVER NORTHEASTERN MADAGASCAR BY TAU 18, DRAG ACROSS THE ISLAND, THEN EXIT INTO THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AROUND TAU 66 AND BY TAU 120 WILL BE POISED TO MAKE A FINAL LANDFALL INTO SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE NORTH OF MAXIXE. THE RUGGED MADAGASCAR TERRAIN WILL WEAKEN THE CYCLONE TO 55 KMPH BY TAU 48; HOWEVER, AFTER IT EXITS INTO THE WARM MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IT WILL GRADUALLY RE-INTENSIFY TO 110 KMPH BEFORE FINAL LANDFALL.